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Dutch Boy–Cash Bail Trade

Dutch Boy gives: Kenta Maeda, Adam Frazier

Cash Bail gives: Mike Leake, Byron Buxton

Dutch Boy made the safe trade; this desk likes the upside of MaeKen and Frazier.

OK, sure. Maybe Maeda never finds his stuff and is condemned to remaining the long man. Maybe when Starling Marte comes back Frazier has no place to play. Let’s see:

The road looks shaky for Maeda–but Hyun-Jin Ryu and Rich Hill aren’t setting the world on fire either. Maeda is a run better than each in FIP. Hill gets blisters. Ryu hasn’t pitched a full season in years. MaeKen will get his shot.

Frazier’s time is now, as the leadoff man. His time might be later too, as the Bucs are sneaky sellers at the deadline. Look what they did last year: First, they sold the expiring contract of Mark Melancon for Felipe Rivero… and more. Then they swapped Francisco Liriano and two suspect-prospects for Drew Hitchison. Everybody in that second deal sucks this year–but the Jays are paying all of Liriano’s $13M salary, which let the Bucs add some complementary pieces in Ivan Nova and David Freese.

This season has not worked out for Pittsburgh, thanks in large part to matters beyond the club’s control: a drunk-driving conviction/work visa issue (Jung-Ho Kang), an 80-game drug suspension (Marte), and testicular cancer (Jameson Taillon). Everything had to go right for the Pirates to make a run this year. It hasn’t. They’ll sell (Andrew McCutchen most probably, Josh Harrison and Freese potentially) and Frazier thus leads off the rest of the way.

Kim didn’t give up too much to take her shot. Mike Leake will regress to his 3.66 FIP, and Byron Buxton’s .589 OPS speaks for itself.

Shaggy’s done the best in the trade market this year, but Kim’s proving a close second.


Coming Soon: Saget Visits the Alamo.

Saget’s been deployed and the dyslexic Muslim hater in the next bunk is giving him the willies. Guy keeps going on about how he wants to burn a Korean.


Mailbag: Kevin Pillar, Lost in the Heart of Texas

Hi CL,

This just showed up on a neighborhood app for areas close to me.  I guess I didn’t realize that Toronto was that bad this year that players were abandoning their teammates, wandering off by themselves and going tits up.  I guess they just couldn’t take it anymore?  Is it that bad up there?  Please be on the lookout for any strays that look lost or confused and offer the help before it’s too late.  They seem to be found well away from Toronto.

Maybe blur out the phone number so no one calls and harasses these people.


Pitching Paranoia… I don’t get it.

So I don’t think I’m talking out-of-school here when I share a couple comments on trade rejections I got over the last 24 hours.

Comments from Shagsters:
Sorry dude, there’s a premium on pitching this year. I want to keep as much of it as I can, because it’s nearly impossible to replace an ace right now.
Comments from slumpbusters:
I really like this trade but I’m too thin at pitching to lose Cueto

OK, I was trying to trade for pitching, but there’s a couple things I don’t get.

  1. I don’t understand why people think the market values pitching so much. Does Copper ridiculously overpaying for Klubot really have that much of an influence on what pitching is worth. That would further inflate his ego, but it’s bozarre. He made a mistake, the end.
  2. Who needs marquee pitching? Certainly not your humble correspondent, who leads the league in ERA:

How do I do it when my ace is… Lance Lynn ?!?!

Well, I have owned him all year…

Lance Lynn, 2017: 78.1 IP, 5 W, 16 HR, 3.33 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 2.38 K/BB, 6 QS

A useful rotation piece, I think you’ll agree, but not really an ace. The HR are way too high (Lynn throws some fastball variant 90+% of the time), the K/BB is a drag.

But  watch what happens when I use him in careful situations. Don’t start him in Colorado etc.

Lance Lynn, Curacao Littleleague 2017:  52.2 IP, 4 W, 7 HR, 2.05 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 2.32 ERA, 5 QS.


OK, I’m only getting 2/3 of his IP, but I’m getting 80%+ of his W/QS, elite ERA/WHIP, and less than half of his gopher balls.

Don’t overpay for pitching, folks. Use your brain, and let matchups be your guide.


Worst Offer I Got All Year



Hey Ultrasurblanco,

This trade has been proposed to you in Great Canadian Baseball League (726).

Luis Severino
Cody Bellinger
José Altuve
to Hasta Bautista Baby
Chris Archer
Carlos Gómez
Brandon McCarthy
to Curacao Littleleague


View Trade

I’m sorry, but this is bullshit.

Shagsters gives: Jose Bautista, Rich Hill

DAVID gives: Robbie Ray, Ian Desmond

Shaggy won the trade, but I can’t believe Commish allowed it. DAVID is 40 GAMES out of the playoffs and Commish is letting him trade. Seriously, 40 GAMES. Actually, 41:

Screen Shot 2017-06-19 at 8.33.46 AM.png

Let me put it another way: With 10 weeks left in the season, DAVID could go 10-3 EVERY WEEK the rest of the way and still not finish at .500.

Now, all of a sudden, with no hope in hell of contending for a playoff spot, DAVID has decided he’s going to make a few trades for shits and giggles. The only thing this can do is disrupt the integrity of the league.


Jose rips off Mendoza

Jose Oquendo gives: Corey Kluber, Nick Castellanos

Mendoza gives: Corey Seager, David Peralta

There were lots of catchy headlines for this one. Riffs on “the two Coreys”, Latin jokes, family rivalry (how does Jose seem clever, but Mendoza seem inbred?) but let’s not bury the lede here: Jose ripped off Mendoza, pure and simple.

Here’s what I think happened: Mendoza groggily woke up and saw that Castellanos had 4 RBI last night, and jumped on a deal that had been sitting in his inbox for a couple days. Tigers’ management was not similarly moved: Castelanos and his .234 average were  scratched again Saturday.

Mendoza also picked up his man-crush, Kluber, who has never really recovered from all last year’s innings (4.15 ERA, 1.21 WHIP). Kluber’s been humping it down the middle to try to cut the wear and tear: 7 HR and 51 H in 56.1 IP. Last year saw only 170 H in 215 IP.

What did Mendoza give up? Only the best SS in the game in Seager and a 20/20 OF type in Peralta. Oh… you hadn’t heard?

Sure, maybe you haven’t heard because West Coast teams and players just don’t get the press. Example: Mike Trout’s 25. He already has more career WAR than a third of the HOF. The press say he’s good, but are too lazy to tell you how good because shucks he’s on the West Coast and they don’t wanna stay up. So hey… instead of featuring Trout, or Seager, or Peralta, let’s annoint Greg Bird as the next Babe Ruth.

Jose can still make the playoffs with his merry band of West Coast misfits. I hear that Kershaw guy’s OK too.

Mendoza’s too busy believing his own hype, or calling Dutch Boy names, or whatever.

Well played, Jose.